Tuesday, 31 March 2020
The lessons from the chapter - Corona
Sunday, 29 March 2020
The Corona the challenges and the options.
Thursday, 26 March 2020
The Corona calamity
Wednesday, 23 October 2019
The suicide of Anilkumar and its takeaway.
Wednesday, 31 July 2019
A lot can happen over a cup of coffee.
When VG Siddharth founder of Cafe Coffee Day (CCD), designed this tag line - A LOT CAN HAPPEN OVER A CUP OF COFFEE, perhaps nobody has envisaged that this (his tragic death) could also happen.
When N T RamaRao died in the year 1996, Deccan Chronicle a daily from Hyderabad wrote an editorial on his death which was not so natural. There, the editor had mentioned a quote from - F Scott Fitzgerald, an American fiction writer. His quote was - Show me an hero, I will write a tragedy for him. This quote of Fitzgerald perhaps applies in case of VG Siddharth's death too.
Siddharth was a quiet, unassuming and self-effacing entrepreneur who shunned limelight and publicity. Many don't know the size of the business empire he has built. Only after his death that the world is aware of the scale and size of his operations.
His main grouse in his death note is against the Income Tax authorities. He says in that that IT authorities have harassed him and the raids on his business has caused him enormous damage to his business prospects from which he could not resuscitate himself and finally gave in to the stress in the form of his suicide. There may be other reasons too which at this stage cannot be deciphered. Only thorough investigation can throw some light on the entire episode. It is said that the simultaneous raids on his premises across twenty two locations has sent the share prices plummeting to new lows thus causing large scale erosion of his asset value. Ever since he was missing and found dead in Nethravathi river there was a hue and cry over the high handedness of IT authorities and many termed it as Tax terrorism unleashed by the ruling dispensation. Also the IT authorities have clarified that they have proceeded as per law. This difference in perception of the issue between IT and rest of world is always debatable, but the fact remains that it has caused irreparable loss to the business, reputational as well as monetary.
This particular charge against IT brings to the surface another most important damage. The raids spree by IT authorities will be a serious jolt to the spirit of entrepreneurship in general. This negative sentiment will make the prospective entrepreneurs not to stick their neck out, there by people not only lose the existing jobs but also creation of new jobs becomes almost impossible because no Entrepreneur/Industrialist will ever come forward to venture into any new business. A negative business sentiment will pervade all through the capitalists who would otherwise have invested. Modi's favorite slogan of - ease of doing business will remain a mere slogan.
Siddharth, despite whatever may be the challenges, difficulties and obstacles should not have resorted to this kind of act. Because according to his own averment, the value of his assets is much more than the loans owed to the creditors. He could have been tenacious and persistent for some more time for the liquidity crunch to get over. He has failed to face the adversity with aplomb. This is most probably due to the fact that he all along kept these things to himself without discussing / sharing atleast with his friends and well wishers who could have given some guidance or shown the way. Life is too precious to be frittered away in the way he did.
The successful person therefore is not the one who is successful but the one who faces adversities, challenge the challenges and still hold his head high when chips are down and hope is distant.
That's why there is a pressing need for all of us to discuss our failures essentially with our kids so that they should be mentally prepared to accept failures in their lives someday in future if they come across them. We should not make the mistake of always talking about success stories. Because success and failures are the two sides of our lives.
I pray God to give strength to the family of the bereaved and thousands of his staff to bear the loss. May his soul rest in peace.
Friday, 24 May 2019
Has Rahul Gandhi written the - epitaph for the Congress?
The much awaited results of the 2019 Loksabha election are out. The BJP has recorded a resounding victory. It has even bettered its own record of 2014. The enormity of the victory is such that it has dumbfounded even its own conservative analysts /poll pundits.
The moot point to be discussed here is more of opposition's failure rather than Modi's performance. The disparate and splintered opposition parties could not convince the voter of their commitment to come together and carry on the business of governance. This was very crucial simply because Congress's revival was considered a task of a tall order. Also congress failed to see the writing on the wall. It was in a wishful thinking that Modi's non keeping of his poll promises and his misdemeanor of demonetiization, GST etc would sail them through. What it also failed to appreciate is the fact that Modi provided a scandal free regime unlike them. The opposition, the
congress included really failed to match the fire power, the lung power and the muscle power of the BJP. They were clearly a distant second. And in organizational preparedness they were no match to the well oiled BJPs party cadres. One of the plus points that BJP had, was the RSS, its mentor, guide and philosopher. It had always guided, corrected and channelised the enormous resources of BJP - men, material and money to optimum levels. The opposition at no point of time sat up and took notice of how destructive the Modi and Shah combination could be to their survival. They couldn't do because they were in complete disarray and spent time in wishful thinking. Rahul Gandhi though he made some noices here and there, was drowned in the crescendo of the Modi and his ever ready brigade of enthusiast party cadres.
What many including the opposition could not really saw is the subtle undercurrent of a pro hindutva desire that was in hibernating status. The Pulwama and Balakot incidents were the real trigger for this undercurrent to manifest to the mainstream. This is the watershed moment in the entire election campaign which was vicious, vitriolic and without discussing the real issues confronting the common man. Many times it degenerated to personal and derogatory.
This victory has enhanced the responsibility of the government to be more responsible, fair and judicious to all sections of the society.
Perhaps Rahul Gandhi would have now realized that Modi as a rival is too intimidating and overwhelming for him. Probably this is the reason why he has reportedly offered to step down. Congress lost the game long ago when they sent Pranab Mukherjee to the Raisina hills. Instead they would have done well by projecting him as the Prime ministerial candidate. This would have atleast increased its longevity. Hoisting a novice on the grand old party, a party full of seniors and most experienced politicians and not looking outside the Gandhi family for leadership, congress committed a blunder and it is too late to undo the damage.
Monday, 1 October 2018
The Loan waiver & the Loan recovery.
Loan waiver and loan recovery are two polar opposites. They don't have a meeting point. They cannot converge as they are divergent. The bankers' task now is, how to achieve these both ends meet. The obnoxious and oft-repeated press statements by the Chief Minister instructing police authorities to arrest the bank officers if they issue the notice of recovery of loan has set the cat among the pigeons. This is a grave and extraordinary situation in the state which is unprecedented. This has devastated their morale. The loan waiver is spereheaded by the head of the government with all the pomp and public gaze where as the recovery has to be made by a poor official at the branch level without any support or protection from his superiors. Will he be left to fend for himself, is my fear. The poor fellow has a daunting task on hand.
Loan waiver is fraught with long term implications which will breed the culture of non repayment. It is a very negative and dangerous indulgence. No Economist hitherto has advocated waiver as a remedy for the farmers'distress. Government /economists /planners can think of alternative ways of ameliorating the hardship of the farmers. Unfortunately for the political class, farm loan waiver is a low hanging fruit in vote bank politics. Indian farmer is frequently affected by the vagaries of the monsoon and uncertain market conditions. When such is the case, waiver is not the panacea. It is rubbing salt to the wound for the banks which are already saddled with unacceptable level of bad loans. At a time when banks are struggling to bring down the NPAs, the announcement of loan waiver is a big jolt to their efforts.
The top executives are also in a great dilemma. Neither they can issue any written instructions to the branch functionaries not to issue the notices to the farmers nor have the gumption to say to the Chief Minister not to issue statements like the way he is doing. If the bankers do not issue the notices, they are liable to be made accountable by the Bank for the lapse and if they issue, the situation is any body's guess. The officials are in such an unenviable position that they are damned if they do, damned if they not. Whatever may be the constraints of the management, time has come to sit up and take notice of creation of a very negative and hostile atmosphere for the grassroot level officials of the bank.
There is an urgent need to educate the the Chief Minister of the immense damage his statements cause to the safety and morale of the bankers and the long term negative impact it will have on the entire farm credit dispensation. Loan waiver is a double edged sword, it cuts both ways. While on one side, it incentivise the defaulter on the other it demotivates the honest borrower and makes him become a wilful defaulter. In short, it vitiates the repayment culture of the borrowers and make life difficult for the banker.
State Level Bankers Committee's (SLBC) role now assumes importance. It has its task cut out if at all it is serious of the situation. The present situation demands lot of education, persuation and perseverance on the part of all the stake holders - the bankers, the government and the farmers. It is just not the waiver per say that is involved in the issue but the whole perception and attitudes has to be corrected.
What can be done?
1. All the heads of the banks affected by this should meet the Chief Minister and protest his remarks in the media. Loan waiver is one thing and giving dangerous and irresponsible statements is another. (But will anybody bell the cat is a million dollar question).
2. Explain him the negative impact it is creating on the credit discipline and the potential it has to breed a culture of non repayment.
3. Arrange a discussion in the electronic media by a panel consisting of RBI representatives, bankers and raitha sangha leaders and explain the intricacies of the issue and the advantages/benefits for prompt repayer. This should be done periodically for certain periods of time.
4. Publicize in daily local vernacular press the Rinn samaadhan (OTS) its details and benefits in bold captions and in front pages.
5. Conduct townhall meeting type of gathering in Agri intensive areas and play a suitably designed / tailored videos mounted on mobile vans that inspire and instill repayment.
6. These mobile vans should tour the Agri intensive pockets.
And in all these, the ghosts of Vijay Mallya, Nirav Modi, the Essars, the Videocons etc will definitely haunt the bankers. The thousands of crores of Corporate loans written off will stare in the face of the bankers. This is something that will weigh on the spirit and drive of the banker in this marathon.
K N Krishnan, 94496 12446
Vice President, SEWA, Bangalore.